Spread Lines Beat Moneylines in World Cup Fixtures

Spread Lines Beat Moneylines in World Cup Fixtures

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DraftKings lists spread options that shift the value equation away from the moneyline in multiple World Cup matches. The handicap lines adjust the required outcome and often present different implied probabilities across the board.

Switzerland versus Algeria

Switzerland holds a moneyline price of 100. The spread at minus 0.5 comes in at minus 105. Removing the draw from the equation tightens the probability for the home side. Algeria form stands at DWLWW while Switzerland shows WWDDW. The total line sits at 2.5 with over at 115 and under at minus 140. This setup makes the spread a tighter read on the expected margin than the three way price alone.

Portugal versus Croatia

Portugal moneyline rests at minus 145. The minus 0.5 spread moves to minus 155. Croatia form reads WWLWL against Portugal DWDWW. The over under line favors the over at minus 130. This handicap demands a win by one goal or more at a price close to the moneyline. The draw sits at 270 on the moneyline and the spread removes that outcome from consideration.

Spain versus Austria

Spain sits at minus 285 on the moneyline. The minus 1.5 spread line lands at minus 105. Austria form is DLWWW. Spain form is WWDWD. The total over under is set at 2.5 with over priced at minus 140. The two goal handicap changes the payout structure significantly and moves the price closer to even money.

United States versus Bosnia-Herzegovina

United States moneyline is minus 270. The minus 1.5 spread is minus 105. Bosnia form WLDDD. United States form LWWLW. Over under at 2.5 with over at minus 160. The spread requires a larger margin for the favorite while returning a price near even. The draw price sits at 400 on the moneyline.

Belgium versus Senegal

Belgium moneyline at minus 105. Spread minus 0.5 at minus 110. Senegal form DWLLD. Belgium form DWDDW. Total over at minus 135. The small adjustment on the spread reflects the draw removal impact. The away moneyline sits at 310 which gives Senegal a longer price on the three way market.

England versus Congo DR

England moneyline minus 330. Minus 1.5 spread at minus 105. Congo DR form WLDLD. England form WDWWW. Over under even at minus 110 both ways. The handicap again offers near even money for a two goal win. The away price on the moneyline reaches 1200 which shows the market gap between any win and a multi goal margin.

Mexico versus Ecuador

Mexico moneyline plus 135. Minus 0.5 spread at plus 125. Ecuador form WDLWW. Mexico form WWWWW. Total over under at 1.5 with over minus 145. The spread flips the favorite status and improves the return. The draw price at 175 on the moneyline sits between the two sides.

France versus Sweden

France moneyline minus 340. Minus 1.5 spread minus 120. Sweden form DLWDL. France form WWWWL. Total over under at 3.5 with under minus 130. The handicap price stays shorter than the moneyline while requiring the extra margin. The away moneyline reaches 900 on the three way board.

The spread lines appear in these fixtures from DraftKings. Each one alters the bet structure compared to the three way moneyline.

The pattern shows spread options adjusting implied edges across seven matches on the board.

  • Switzerland spread minus 0.5 at minus 105
  • Portugal spread minus 0.5 at minus 155
  • Spain spread minus 1.5 at minus 105
  • United States spread minus 1.5 at minus 105
  • Belgium spread minus 0.5 at minus 110
  • England spread minus 1.5 at minus 105
  • Mexico spread minus 0.5 at plus 125
  • France spread minus 1.5 at minus 120

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